UC Dublin vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
2º
55
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
COB
2 - 2
UCD
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 1
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
0 - 0
UCD
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
BRW
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 0
ATH
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
ATH
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
CAO
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |