Universities AFC vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+206%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
9º
9º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 6
UOC
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WMK
0 - 1
UOC
62%
19%
19%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 7
CAS
4%
8%
88%
|
5 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
NSF
6%
11%
84%
|
5 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
NOM
90%
7%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 0
HAL
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
NSF
44%
20%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 1
NOM
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
COA
46%
21%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |