Universities AFC vs Nomads Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+206%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
9º
9º
24
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 6
UOC
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WMK
0 - 1
UOC
62%
19%
19%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 7
CAS
4%
8%
88%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
NSF
6%
11%
84%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
NOM
90%
7%
4%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 0
HAL
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
NSF
44%
20%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 1
NOM
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
COA
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |