Universities AFC vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
83.4%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
2.2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.8%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
9º
9º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 3
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
5 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 2
SUF
28%
21%
51%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
UOC
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
UOC
1 - 3
CHR
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
UOC
3 - 2
WMK
22%
19%
59%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 5
NSF
15%
16%
70%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
3 - 3
COA
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NSF
3 - 1
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 1
NSF
33%
20%
47%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |