Universities AFC vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+206%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
9º
9º
19
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 1
UOC
93%
5%
2%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 1
UOC
87%
9%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
CHR
8%
12%
81%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 3
UOC
57%
19%
24%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 3
FER
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
DUN
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
12%
15%
74%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
DUN
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
NOM
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
DUN
91%
6%
3%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |