Universitario Popayán vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 0
UNI
30%
23%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 2
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAL
21%
24%
56%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
SFC
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 0
REA
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
REA
2 - 2
CUC
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
REA
3 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
REA
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
PAT
5 - 0
REA
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |