Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 1-0
Universitario Popayán vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ORS
2 - 0
UNI
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
RSC
1 - 1
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ORS
2 - 0
UNI
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
ORS
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
ORS
39%
24%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 0
LEO
28%
22%
51%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ORS
3 - 1
CAR
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |