Universitario Popayán vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
TFC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
ACA
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOR
28%
28%
45%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |