Universitario Popayán vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAS
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
UNI
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
CAL
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COR
4 - 2
AFC
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
TFC
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
AFC
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |