Universitario Popayán vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
TFC
57%
23%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CUC
2 - 1
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
BUC
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 2
QUI
22%
28%
51%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 3
QUI
21%
28%
52%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 3
BOG
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 1
RSC
24%
28%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
4 - 1
BOG
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 4
REA
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |