Universitario Popayán vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
4 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
AME
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
UNI
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
BUC
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 0
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 0
BUC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
ALI
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
AME
1 - 4
ALI
66%
19%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |