Universitario de Deportes vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
COM
3 - 4
UNI
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
GAR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
3 - 2
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 2
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |