Universitario de Deportes vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
ATP
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
MEL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 0
HUA
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 2
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 4
SAM
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
CIE
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |