Universitario de Deportes vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AYA
3 - 2
UNI
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
LEO
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 4
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAL
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
UTC
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAL
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
4 - 0
UTC
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
AYA
3 - 1
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 2
AUR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
SAM
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |