Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
GOD
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
30%
32%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SBO
2 - 0
UNI
36%
31%
33%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 1
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
SPC
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 0
AYA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CIE
0 - 1
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |