Universitario de Deportes vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
LIB
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
LAN
39%
25%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 2
AYA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
BLO
1 - 2
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
3 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
SPC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UNA
3 - 1
SPC
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |