Universitario de Deportes vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
UNI
2 - 0
PEÑ
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
UCH
1 - 5
SAN
43%
23%
35%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1964 |
IND
2 - 1
SAN
51%
22%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1964 |
SAN
2 - 3
IND
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACM
56%
20%
24%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1963 |
SAN
4 - 2
ACM
55%
21%
25%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |