Universitario de Deportes vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
GAL
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
LIG
4 - 0
UNI
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 1
RIV
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 5
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
5 - 3
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
CER
3 - 0
ROC
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
5 - 0
ROC
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |