Universitario de Deportes vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
3 - 1
MWA
60%
19%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1975 |
MWA
0 - 2
UNI
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1975 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
0 - 3
PEÑ
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
MWA
1 - 2
PEÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MWA
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |