Universitario de Deportes vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
47.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
3 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
3 - 6
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1975 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIG
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
ALI
2 - 4
PAL
22%
28%
50%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
50%
27%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1978 |
PAL
0 - 1
GUA
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1978 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAL
56%
26%
19%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 0
SCI
49%
27%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |