Universitario de Deportes vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1971 |
UNI
3 - 0
SPC
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1971 |
CEN
2 - 2
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1971 |
UNI
0 - 0
BOC
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1971 |
UNI
3 - 2
CEN
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
SPC
0 - 0
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
FLU
1 - 3
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1971 |
PAL
3 - 0
GAL
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 0
MIR
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1971 |
MIR
0 - 3
PAL
18%
20%
61%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
GAL
2 - 3
PAL
27%
22%
51%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |