Universitario de Deportes vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
SPC
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2003 |
OPE
2 - 2
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
WAN
2 - 2
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOL
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 1
UNI
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 0
LFC
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2003 |
RAC
4 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
CSM
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
3 - 0
OPE
67%
19%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 0
MWA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |