Universitario de Deportes vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
LIG
0 - 0
UNI
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
3 - 1
MWA
60%
19%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1975 |
LIG
4 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
LIG
0 - 0
UNI
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
POR
1 - 1
LIG
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
GAL
0 - 1
LIG
29%
22%
49%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 2
LIG
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |