Universitario de Deportes vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 0
UNI
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AYA
1 - 0
UNI
33%
30%
38%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
TOT
64%
23%
13%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SBO
1 - 2
UNI
29%
30%
41%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
GAL
3 - 2
AYA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 0
TOT
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAL
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALI
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 0
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |