Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-2
Universitario de Deportes vs Godoy Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
30%
32%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SBO
2 - 0
UNI
36%
31%
33%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
ANZ
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Godoy Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
GOD
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
GOD
2 - 0
SLO
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NOB
1 - 1
GOD
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 1
CAU
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |