Universitario de Deportes vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 4
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 2
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
UTC
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
LOS
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |