Universitario de Deportes vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
SBO
2 - 1
UNI
34%
30%
37%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 0
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
40%
30%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
CIE
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 2
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
GAL
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
SAM
2 - 0
MEL
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
MEL
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 2
SPO
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |