Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 2
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAM
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
UNI
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
UTC
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
MUN
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
SPC
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GAR
2 - 1
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 3
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |