Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
MEL
36%
30%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
AYA
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 0
UNI
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 0
MUN
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 3
HUA
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |