Universitario de Deportes vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
HUA
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 3
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
MUN
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 2
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
34%
25%
42%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 3
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAC
0 - 0
DEP
21%
21%
59%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
TAC
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AME
0 - 3
DEP
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |