Universitario Deportes vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1981 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOC
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
6 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
OLI
2 - 0
TOL
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
COB
3 - 0
TOL
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1982 |
TOL
1 - 1
OLI
22%
33%
46%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
TOL
1 - 0
COB
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |