Universitario de Deportes vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 1
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
MUN
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPC
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SBO
0 - 0
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
SAM
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
UTC
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
75%
16%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
COM
2 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |