Universitario Deportes vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
4º
10º
7º
0
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 31 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
0 | 31 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 29 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 29 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
0 | 29 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 29 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
0 | 28 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 26 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 25 |
11º
|
4% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 23 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 22 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 22 |
14º
|
5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 20 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 19 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 19 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 13 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 13 |
19º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
6.5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 0
IMI
35%
25%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ONC
1 - 0
UNI
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
JUN
1 - 3
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SRP
0 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
CIE
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CIE
0 - 0
REA
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CIE
4 - 0
JWI
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
CIE
7 - 0
COM
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
CIE
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
CIE
3 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |