Universitario de Deportes vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 1
UNI
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 1
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 0
UNI
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
TOT
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 1
UNI
39%
30%
32%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 4
MEL
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 0
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SAM
5 - 0
CIE
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
CIE
0 - 2
SLO
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |