Universitario de Deportes vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 0
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
VEL
4 - 0
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
UNI
0 - 0
VEL
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
UNI
1 - 3
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
COL
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
CCP
1 - 0
JUN
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1999 |
CCP
3 - 2
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
CAL
4 - 0
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
CCP
4 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
EST
3 - 0
CCP
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |