Universitario de Deportes vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1985 |
UNI
4 - 0
SBO
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
4 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1985 |
OCT
1 - 0
UNI
36%
23%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1985 |
SBO
0 - 2
UNI
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
TOL
1 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1985 |
SBO
1 - 2
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1985 |
OCT
0 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
4 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
SBO
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |