Universitario de Deportes vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1970 |
UNI
1 - 3
BOC
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1970 |
ARI
1 - 1
UNI
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 16 | 60 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 0
LIG
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
3 - 0
AME
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 1
ARI
81%
12%
8%
|
75 | 16 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
NOB
1 - 1
RIV
37%
28%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
HUR
2 - 4
RIV
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
RIV
0 - 2
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
RIV
3 - 3
QUI
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
COL
3 - 2
RIV
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |