Universitario de Deportes vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1971 |
UNI
3 - 2
CEN
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
SPC
0 - 0
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
RIV
5 - 3
UNI
70%
17%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
BOC
1 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1970 |
UNI
1 - 2
RIV
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1971 |
SPC
2 - 0
BOC
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1971 |
BOC
2 - 1
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1970 |
BOC
2 - 1
CEN
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
BOC
2 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1970 |
BOC
2 - 0
SMA
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |