Universitario de Deportes vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
UTC
1 - 3
UNI
45%
23%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1986 |
JWI
4 - 0
UNI
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
UNI
2 - 0
UTC
70%
16%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
UNI
1 - 1
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
JWI
1 - 2
BOL
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
UTC
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
UCO
3 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |