Universitario de Deportes vs Atlético Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 2
GAR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
BIN
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
UTC
1 - 3
UNI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 5
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
AGP
0 - 0
UTC
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MEL
3 - 0
AGP
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 1
GAR
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AGP
2 - 2
BIN
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 2
AGP
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |