Universitario de Deportes vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 1
ARI
81%
12%
8%
|
75 | 15 | 60 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
2 - 0
UNI
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1968 |
IND
3 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
EST
1 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
ARI
0 - 1
AME
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 15 | 49 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
LIG
4 - 1
AME
69%
17%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
AME
1 - 1
ARI
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | 0 |