Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1986 |
UNI
1 - 2
JWI
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1986 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
UTC
1 - 3
UNI
45%
23%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1986 |
JWI
4 - 0
UNI
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALI
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 0
PRO
66%
18%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |