Universitario Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1981 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOC
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
6 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
72%
15%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
2 - 5
PAL
25%
28%
47%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1981 |
ALI
1 - 2
BOC
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
4 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
9%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
2 - 0
ALI
87%
9%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
ALI
2 - 4
PAL
22%
28%
50%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |