Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
13%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
2 - 5
PAL
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
3 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
3 - 6
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1975 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1975 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIG
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
ALI
2 - 4
PAL
22%
28%
50%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
0 - 3
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
3 - 6
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ALI
1 - 4
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |