Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-2
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
AGU
3 - 1
UNI
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 1
UNI
32%
29%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 2
CAU
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
CIE
2 - 0
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
UNI
5 - 2
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SBO
0 - 0
ALI
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
CAU
1 - 0
ALI
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOL
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 3
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
ALI
1 - 1
CIE
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |