Apertura Bolivia Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Vinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
UDV
69%
18%
12%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
UDV
2 - 1
REA
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
UDV
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
UDV
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UDV
1 - 0
ABB
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
UDV
69%
18%
12%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BLO
2 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
ROY
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |