Copa Simón Bolívar Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-4
Universitario Beni vs 24 de Septiembre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+198%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario Beni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 1
MAP
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 1
BEN
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | -3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAP
0 - 0
BEN
4%
8%
88%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
SEP
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 0
ABE
95%
4%
1%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
24 de Septiembre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAP
1 - 2
SEP
12%
16%
72%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 1
BEN
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | +9 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 1
MAP
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
SEP
88%
9%
3%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
TFU
3 - 0
SEP
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |