Univ. San Martín vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
SAM
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
SAM
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
SAM
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 2
AUR
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
UTC
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 3
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
UTC
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
UTC
0 - 0
MEL
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |