Univ. San Martín vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
LOS
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
CIE
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
HUA
2 - 4
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
GAR
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
UTC
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
UTC
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |