Univ. San Martín vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
UTC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
LOS
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
FIO
23%
28%
50%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
GAR
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
MEL
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |