Univ. San Martín vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
COB
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 3
GAL
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
GAR
41%
29%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
UNI
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
COB
1 - 1
UNI
43%
30%
27%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |